The Arkansas Weather Hawk's Blog

      Hey, good evening everybody! How's it going! I've looked into the newest model guidance, and pretty much the only thing I'm unsure about at this current moment is timing, as far as when this Severe Weather is expected to setup. Now, again as I stated last night in my previous weather update, MY MAIN CONCERNS are Damaging Thunderstorm Winds, and the possibility for large damaging Hail. Those are my primary concerns at this time, Tornadoes are possible but not incredibly likely. I will go over my uncertainties below.       My main uncertainty here is timing. The NAM (North American Forecast Model) has one single Squall Line moving through Early in the day on Tuesday, and that's it! Nothing else behind it. Now, even with that scenario, we have to watch the storm cells that form out ahead of the line itself. If anything can get organized, then we have a problem. Okay now that's the NAM...... The GFS (Global Forecasting System) is saying something a little bit dif

      Hey everybody, how's it going! It's been a while since my last post here on the blog. As you all know when the weather is quiet and nice, I tend to stay away from the blog. I try to only use it for the really serious stuff. So, with that being said, It's looking like we have a particularly interesting setup coming in over the next few days. A frontal boundary will move over the state tonight, and tomorrow morning, that will allow waves of low pressure to move over the state. Now, this will set the stage for some severe weather. So, let's get right into things!       Okay, so we didn't have much of a winter! THAT SUCKS! I was hoping for some good shots at some snow storms and stuff. I mean granted, OUR SCIENTIFIC Winter has not ended yet. But there's no hope in the future for snow! LOL! But it's now time for METEOROLOGIST, and the public alike to shift our focus from the DEAD Winter that we had on to Tornadoes and Severe Weather! WITH THAT BEING SAID,