The Arkansas Weather Hawk's Blog

        Hey everybody, I hope Everybody in North, West, North Central, and Northeast Arkansas enjoyed your Snow Days. It's always fun Forecasting Snow Events, because generally everybody loves to see Snow, especially during the Holiday Season, it's cute, and it excites everybody during this time of the year. Even people that don't like Snow have an appreciation for the energy, and Wintertime Vibes it brings during the Holidays. But shifting our focus from Snow, to WHAT?? Christmas Weather!      So on to what is for some, the Best Time of The Year! Christmas 2020 as of right now does look dry, but it looks VERY COLD! Now in the Days before Christmas (Wednesday), there will be a system moving through that will bring some chances for rain with it, so for those people that will be traveling in the days before Christmas, do be aware that there are chances for rain on Wednesday, throughout the day, clearing out of here by Wednesday Night, and Gone by Thursday.  At this time, noth

        Hey Everybody, How's It Going!? I hope Everybody is safe, and all is going well as we approach Christmas 2020! Like everything else this year, the weather has been on a true roll! I was dead on some updates ago when I released my official Fall Forecast, along with some Winter predictions, because  so far this has been a very busy season for forecasters! From one possibility of Severe Weather, to Several Possibilities for Winter Weather, and so far Two Winter Weather events into the season! Now for the Third? This is the HRRR (High Resolution Rapid Refresh Weather Model), this particular model is a 48 hour model, it tends to be fairly accurate, and dependable in the short range. According to this one Model, the Onset for Winter Precipitation in the state is between the Hours of 3pm and 6pm in the afternoon on Tuesday December 15th. But the Precipitation then starts to drift East into Central Arkansas around 6pm Tuesday Evening.  This is the HRRR Model

     Hey Everybody, How's it going!? So Today, and Tonight (December 13th, 2020), we got really good Snow totals out of North, and Northwest Arkansas. I think my last forecast was dead on the money with who was going to get Snow, I didn't want to commit too much to the totals because who, gets how much is a matter of throwing a dart at the wall. But I knew there would be some places in North Arkansas that got accumulating Snowfall to say the least. So far, we have managed to get a mixture of Precipitation here in Central Arkansas with scattered reports of rain/snow mix, but no accumulations will come out of it. So now, WHAT'S NEXT?           Well speaking of the word "Next," there's another chance for some Winter Precipitation in Arkansas on Tuesday Evening, and Night.  Okay so this is the Latest Data Set of the NAM (North American Model), this image is valid between the Hours of 6pm and 9pm Tuesday evening. This model is projecting some Winter Precipitation m

       Hey everybody, how's it going!? I said a couple of Updates back that a shot at some Winter Precipitation before Christmas was possible!!! Here we are today 24 Hours away from a fairly decent chance at some accumulating Winter Weather in the State. Now about 2 weeks ago, we did have a brief mix from Rain-Sleet in Central Arkansas. Certain Higher Elevations in the state switched completely over from rain to snow, but the difference between then, and now is what happened some weeks ago wasn't planned, it was possible but not planned or anticipated, this system is anticipated to bring Wintery Precipitation into Arkansas. So let's not waste any more time, let's get right into this.               So this is the Latest Data Set of the NAM (North American Model), this map is valid between 12Noon and 3pm Sunday Evening, and the model projects a changeover from rain to snow already in Northwest Arkansas. Due to the Onset being so Early in the day, there will be