Winter Weather Update: Winter Weather Maker Number 2!!!

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    Hey Everybody, How's it going!? So Today, and Tonight (December 13th, 2020), we got really good Snow totals out of North, and Northwest Arkansas. I think my last forecast was dead on the money with who was going to get Snow, I didn't want to commit too much to the totals because who, gets how much is a matter of throwing a dart at the wall. But I knew there would be some places in North Arkansas that got accumulating Snowfall to say the least. So far, we have managed to get a mixture of Precipitation here in Central Arkansas with scattered reports of rain/snow mix, but no accumulations will come out of it. So now, WHAT'S NEXT?

          Well speaking of the word "Next," there's another chance for some Winter Precipitation in Arkansas on Tuesday Evening, and Night. 


Okay so this is the Latest Data Set of the NAM (North American Model), this image is valid between the Hours of 6pm and 9pm Tuesday evening. This model is projecting some Winter Precipitation mainly confined to the Northwest Corner of the state. It's too early to tell how heavy, and widespread though.

This is the latest Data Set of the HRRR (High Resolution Rapid Refresh Weather Model.) This model is a 48 hour Model, so the furthest out it goes is to 6pm Tuesday Evening. Now this model shows something pretty similar to the NAM, but it's more widespread in coverage of the Precipitation. So this is something to watch as the datasets roll in over the next several runs.

Now, the GFS (Global Forecasting System), weather model isn't projecting this next system very well. The GFS shows incoming possibilities for inclement weather, but it doesn't show it moving into the state real good, I'm not satisfied with this last run, so I'll have to watch it. I'll obviously have more detailed information as we get closer in time. My predictions about this Winter are coming true so far!!! I'm loving it!

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