The Arkansas Weather Hawk's Blog

       Hey everybody, I hope you're having a fantastic Sunday Evening! I've been pouring over the model guidance over the past several days, and I've been studying the chances for rain on Halloween day, and night.! I don't think the trick or treaters will like this one! I'm about to talk about rain chances, and temperatures on Halloween day/night, as well as the weather heading into our annual Susan G. Coleman Race For The Cure here in Central Arkansas on Saturday November 3rd.        As far as Halloween goes, there are definite rain chances in the forecast for Wednesday October 31rst 2K18. There will be a front that will move in late Tuesday night and into Wednesday. This front will be strong, so with it will come the chance for ISOLATED Strong to possibly Severe Storms. Now, I'm not expecting a widespread outbreak of Severe Weather, but there is a chance for some storms to be strong to severe. Now, the latest run of the NAM (North American Model) shows the sy

        Hey everybody, how's it going!? I hope everybody is having a fantastic evening. The time is finally here for me to give my official educated pitch at what this weather pattern will be like as we move through the fall months. I can make this Forecast today, and the complete opposite can happen  It should be noted that with Long range Forecasting (any forecast extending further than 7 days), everything is always in the air as it relates to accuracy. But when it comes down to it, I base my forecast off of education, instinct, and weather analysis. So, that being said, let's get to this Fall!       Now TEMPERATURE WISE; Today October 10th, 2018 is probably the warmest day we will have for at least the next 7 days. Now the front that brought brief spinups, high winds, and power outages to the state also delivered us the cooler temperatures that everybody has been BEGGING for! Today we got to the 80s here in West Little Rock. But at this time it is 65° here in West Little Ro

       Hey Everybody, I hope everybody is having a fantastic day so far! I'm just wanting to bring everybody up to date regarding a developing Severe Weather situation that we have out in West Arkansas. At the moment we have two Tornado Watches in effect for the West side of the State. I do not anticipate a widespread Tornado outbreak, but I do however expect widespread Severe storms. The Tornado parameters are not really conducive for the development of Tornadoes here in Arkansas. But however, there is a line of Strong to Severe storms moving into the state, and due to the motion of the winds, and how sporadic in nature they tend to be, there is somewhat of a Tornado threat associated with the squall line itself. Because of that reason, the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma has issued a Tornado Watch for the North and West 1/2 of Arkansas. I do expect that watch to be extended to the South to include areas of Southwest, and West Central Arkansas. This is the CAPE (Co