The Arkansas Weather Hawk's Blog

     Hey everybody, how are y'all!?  As you can clearly tell by the title, there is a chance for strong to severe weather in the state. That chance is for Sunday Morning/Saturday Night. First of all before all that, I'd like to add, my Official Winter forecast was a huge hit! I really appreciate you guys for coming here to the blog! It means a lot to me!!      Now as far as Saturday goes, for the most part, it's dry!  There's always your chance for an occasional popup shower of course. But it's dry! Now Saturday Night is pretty much the same..... But, there's a chance for storms and showers to fire up ahead of the cold front that will be advancing into the state from the Northwest. The cold front will bring a Squall Line (Line of Strong to Severe Thunderstorms) with it. This setup will be reminiscent of a spring storm system. Where the Front advance from Left to Right across the state bringing Severe Weather and straight lined winds with it. This is the Sev

      Hey everybody, how's it going! The time has finally come for the Official Winter 2017 Weather Forecast! I know a lot of people has been expecting this, so lets get into things shall we! There is A LOT to cover so lets get into it!     First thing's first, when it comes to predicting winter weather the START of all of it, being warm, cold, wet, dry, snowy, icy, etc. It all starts with the climate setup. There's something called the Arctic Oscillation (AO for short). The AO is basically the state of the rotation of air around the North Pole. There are two phases of AO, when the AO is in it's Positive Phase,  that means there's a state of Low Pressure around the north pole that keeps the cold arctic air confined to the north pole, and it leaves the rest of the lower 48 dry, and warm for the winter season. Now to the opposing side, when the AO is in it's Negative Phase, this means that there is a state of high pressure around the north pole, which pushes the