The Arkansas Weather Hawk's Blog

         Good Morning everybody, how's it going?! I hope everybody is having a safe, and Fantastic day so far. It is that time of year. Severe Weather Setup, after Severe Weather Setup, they are rolling in like Clockwork now. So following Saturday's Storms, which came as expected; with Isolated tornadoes, and strong to severe wind. No fatalities, no injuries, everybody heeded the warnings very well. There was some misconceptions about the matter of Tornado Sirens, and how they work, I'll make a separate post about that. But as far as today (Wednesday March 13th is Concerned).        There is a system making it's way from the West, it should be here inbetween now, and this afternoon With it comes the Wind Energy that's needed for Severe Weather, combine that with moisture coming up from the South, and we have a mixture of Instability on our hands which means Severe Weather.  So as far as I see right now the primary focus will be on the s...

      Good Afternoon Everybody, I hope everybody's having a fantastic day so far. I've been watching over the models, and I've noticed that there is a system coming in this weekend. This will pose some sort of Severe Weather this weekend.     The wind field with this particular system will be substantially strong. Anytime you have a strong wind field, with moisture, and some Instability (even a little bit), there lies a threat for Severe Weather. So, with that being said, there is a threat for Severe Weather on Saturday afternoon for South, and Central Arkansas, and Saturday Evening for East, and Southeast Arkansas. The threat for Tornadoes is low at this time, the main concern here is Damaging Straight Lined Wind. Tornadoes will not be ruled out. It's only Wednesday *This May Change in the coming days*.  This is the 6am Wednesday Morning run of the GFS (Global Forecasting System), here it shows CAPE values highest in South Central Arkansas. CAPE sta...