Winter 2K18/19 Will NOT Be Denied!!!

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       Hey GoodMorning/Afternoon everybody, how's it going!? I hope everybody is having a fantastic day so far, and I hope everybody has had a safe and enjoyable New Years!!!! It is my first update of 2019, and I'm making it about what I love! WINTER! Winter in Arkansas has made a return! Just when everybody said "Winter is dead", "Winter is over".... Winter will not be denied here in Arkansas! WINTER IS NOT OVER UNTIL IT'S OVER. So let's dive into what's to come shall we!
      Okay so I know everybody know by now that there is a System moving into the mid south, coupled with cold arctic temperatures coming in from the north associated with a front. It's been all over the news, now as far as the dynamics on this system, and how it impacts us here in Arkansas.?At this time, the latest run of the NAM (North American Model) is showing plain Jane rain for everywhere south of North Arkansas. Could we see a Mix LATE Friday evening, into Friday night? Sure! But due to recent highs, the ground will be to warm for accumulations, so we're mainly talking about watching bridges & overpasses, and grassy accumulations, if that. Now for North Arkansas the Onset of the frozen stuff at least by the NAM is slated for around Noon on Friday. The GFS shows a changeover, but it's warm and it keeps everything as rain Friday, Friday night, and Saturday. The NAM keeps everywhere in Central, and South Arkansas as rain Friday, Friday night, and Saturday. But the NAM keeps that pocket of Freezing Rain/Sleet in that North area of Arkansas throughout the entire duration. So if this verify, some areas in North Arkansas may get substantial amounts of Ice, IF THIS VERIFY.
This is a Screenshot of the NAM (North American Model), I screenshotted this at the initial onset of the ice projected by this model which is around noon Friday. You see the rain moving in from the West, everywhere accept that north part of Arkansas will just get rain through Friday, Friday night, and Saturday AM. The GFS shows some Snow mixed into there, but maybe. 

IF, I REPEAT, IF, there is any changeover here in Central sections of the State it will likely be brief, and it will only accumulate on bridges, and overpasses. But I do not expect a widespread changeover here in Central Arkansas. I expect plain rain, with patches of Sleet/Freezing Rain Mix up North. If anything changes, I'll be the first to let you guys know! Thanks for coming here to the Arkansas Weather Hawk's Blog! 

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