When it FINALLY Rain's it POURS!

-
       Hey Everybody, How's it Going!! We finally for the first time in months have managed to get some good, SOLID rain that means anything to our drought conditions that has been going on. Our drought has made history for this particular time of year. Now we have relief. But here lies the problem, you see there's an old saying "When it Rain's, it pours." That old saying is what came to mind when I took a look at the weather pattern over the next week. See this feed of moisture that we've had over the last few days will be moving eastward. But we still have unfinished business.
      The remains of what was once Hurricane Patricia, have moved through most of Mexico, and will soon be entering the Golf of Mexico. Thankfully for us, it won't be a Hurricane, it will be a tropical system. Once this tropical system of moisture moves inland, it's trajectory will take it roughly along the Mississippi/Alabama border, which will put the " Blow Off" of the right side of the system towards Arkansas. What this means for us, MORE RAIN. That rain could be Locally Heavy rainfall.
I thought the GFS (Global Forecasting System) weather model did a really good job at picking it up. If this verify this will mean more rain, and possibly lots of it. This could be locally heavy in areas. 
Now as if that isn't enough rain when you add in the last few days of rainfall that we've already had. We are looking at the chance for MORE Rain this weekend around Halloween. I HATE TO BE THE DEMON OF BAD NEWS, but according to this GFS Weather Model there is a chance for rain from October 30th-November 1rst.... See below. 
Now here's a shot at the GFS Weather Model hinting at a Low pressure system from out of the West moving from Left to Right across the state bringing showers and storms along with it. This is around noon Halloween day. 
This is the GFS overnight on Halloween still shows scattered showers and storms around. 
Now With that being said, this is Monday, I'm talking about a FULL WEEK away on Saturday! That's a LONG TIME Weather wise. Within the next few days that entire image of this weekend will probably change. But I just felt it was worth a mention because it is something that I noticed. I will see how consistent this model stay with the rain chances and timing over the next few days, and I'll mention it in another update in the future. When we come within time range and other weather models start to see next weekend, I'll compare models. So do NOT get upset about it, remember we are a full week away. 

As always I really appreciate everybody for coming here to the Arkansas Weather Hawk's Blog and checking out my weather updates, it really means a lot to me. 

Follow Me on Social Media
TheArkansas WeatherHawk - Facebook
@OmarrWilson - Twitter 
 The Arkansas Weather Hawk - Google Plus 



Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: 4/03/19 Thursday Thunder

-
Image
     Hey everybody, I hope everybody is having a Fantastic night so far, and I hope everybody is safe. Over the last week, I've been watching a Storm System moving through tomorrow afternoon. The Main threats will be Limited Due to the timing of day, and the level of severity will be limited due to the lack of Instability. See Below.      This is a map courtesy of the National Weather Service in North Little Rock, as you can see here the Primary Threats will be Large Hail, and Damaging Thunderstorm Winds. Tornadoes cannot be ruled out, but are not likely.  This will not be a widespread severe weather outbreak. Mainly because this will come as two waves of moisture. The first wave of showers and storms will move through early in the morning on Thursday, SOME MAY BE STRONG. So for those getting up for work, and school, be aware of this. That first Initial wave will move through and leave lingering rain behind. This will cause cooling, and stabilize the atmosphere to keep Severe
Read more

First Weather Update of 2016 !!!!!!

-
Image
     Heyy Everybody GoodMorning, and How's it Going!! Thanks for coming here to the Weather Hawk's Blog for the first blog post update of the new year! I'm doing this update to inform you guys of our first rain chances of the new year! First for two things aye! Well first thing's first, I'd Like to THANK EVERYBODY for your Happy Birthday Wishes back on my Birthday (New Year's Eve), makes me feel Loved, Thank You everybody. I'd also like to wish EVERYBODY a Happy New Year! I hope and pray that you all had a safe, and enjoyable New Year regardless of what you did for new years. 2015 flew by, it's now officially 2016. So let's get down to bidness shall we?     So as far as our next rain chances goes, our next rain chance comes in during the Second half of our work week this week. All of you know I generally study 3 different weather models that I tend to find most accurate for my predictions on what I think is going to happen. The GFS (Global Forecasti
Read more

Overnight Storms

-
Image
     Hey everybody, how's it going! I hope you guys are having a good day so far. I know I haven't done any weather updates recently, haven't had much going on weather wise, and I'm in the middle of a busy work week, so I just haven't had time to do anything. But I'm making time today, because we have a storm system coming in overnight tonight, and into tomorrow morning. So lets take a dive into it aye.     As far as Timing goes, It's looking like Late this Evening in Oklahoma, Later tonight in West Arkansas, and moving left to right across the state during the Overnight Hours. So for Central Arkansas 12-2AM would be a good bet, and East Arkansas 2-7AM would be a good bet.     As far as what the threats are, well mainly due solely to the timing of the night this will move in, the MAIN threats are Hail, and Damaging Straight Line Winds. At First this was expected to move in during the Evening hours, and that raised some Tornado Concern among Meteorologist,
Read more