Tropical Arkansas!?!?!?!

-
     GoodMorning Everybody! I know you're probably wondering what's up with my Title Lol. Well, I have something to share with you guys. Okay, so you remember last Post, I touched on the subject of the Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season activity picking up right.? Well turns out that I was actually right! It was more of a "Hunch" Comment if you will, that I made. I didn't want to say it because I was unsure about that feeling regarding the Hurricane Season because it's been soo long since we've had to discuss Hurricanes here in Arkansas. But there is a System developing in the Atlantics that is catching my attention......            ⇩↓▼
     The last memorable Hurricane that even had a memorable impact on Arkansas was Hurricane Gustav in August of 2008. That was the last Major Tropical System that had a significant impact on Life here in Arkansas. NOW, WITH THAT SAID! I DO NOT THINK, this System will even be remotely close to that dramatic, especially for these parts. But depending on the track of it, it could effect our weather here in The Natural State.  That's a BIG IF might I add.
      There are 3 basic trajectories that I could come up with from all the different tracks of the Weather Models of where this thing could go, See Below!
The Blue Path is the Least Likely, Followed by the Gray Path, with the Orange Path being the most Likely or Similar to it. Now what does this mean for us? Well, what I see here is if the Gray path was to verify (Saying that the dogon thing even holds together or intensify from it's current state), if it was to take that particular track, then it could give us (Depending on the Exact Trajectory) a chance for either Severe Weather (Including Tornadoes), or a Chance for a Multi-Day Constant Rain event. That all depends on it's exact Trajectory along that particular track. If the Orange path verify, (and the Storm Intensify to Tropical Storm, or God Forbid, HURRICANE Status) then that spells Bad News for Florida, Georgia, and the other Eastern States. It just means, a change in our weather pattern in some type of random way. 

I'm in NO WAY telling you guys that I directly believe this will effect us, I just figured I'd share my preliminary thoughts on what the Possibilities are with this System. It's been a long time since we've had to deal with Hurricanes, and Tropical Storms n such over in these parts. Mainly due to Windshear, and the Lack of Atmospheric support for Hurricanes to develop. Hurricanes and tropical systems are very touchy, and dynamic systems, everything has to be PERFECT for one to get going, let alone grow. Those opportunities are a dime a dozen these days. I'll keep you guys posted! 

Thanx for Coming here to the Weather Hawk's Blog, I enjoy doing this, and your support means the world! Have a Great Wednesday Everybody! 

Follow Me On Social Media 
@Omarrian Wilson - Facebook
@OmarrWilson - Twitter
@The Arkansas Weather Hawk - Google Plus 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: 4/03/19 Thursday Thunder

-
Image
     Hey everybody, I hope everybody is having a Fantastic night so far, and I hope everybody is safe. Over the last week, I've been watching a Storm System moving through tomorrow afternoon. The Main threats will be Limited Due to the timing of day, and the level of severity will be limited due to the lack of Instability. See Below.      This is a map courtesy of the National Weather Service in North Little Rock, as you can see here the Primary Threats will be Large Hail, and Damaging Thunderstorm Winds. Tornadoes cannot be ruled out, but are not likely.  This will not be a widespread severe weather outbreak. Mainly because this will come as two waves of moisture. The first wave of showers and storms will move through early in the morning on Thursday, SOME MAY BE STRONG. So for those getting up for work, and school, be aware of this. That first Initial wave will move through and leave lingering rain behind. This will cause cooling, and stabilize the atmosphere to keep Severe
Read more

First Weather Update of 2016 !!!!!!

-
Image
     Heyy Everybody GoodMorning, and How's it Going!! Thanks for coming here to the Weather Hawk's Blog for the first blog post update of the new year! I'm doing this update to inform you guys of our first rain chances of the new year! First for two things aye! Well first thing's first, I'd Like to THANK EVERYBODY for your Happy Birthday Wishes back on my Birthday (New Year's Eve), makes me feel Loved, Thank You everybody. I'd also like to wish EVERYBODY a Happy New Year! I hope and pray that you all had a safe, and enjoyable New Year regardless of what you did for new years. 2015 flew by, it's now officially 2016. So let's get down to bidness shall we?     So as far as our next rain chances goes, our next rain chance comes in during the Second half of our work week this week. All of you know I generally study 3 different weather models that I tend to find most accurate for my predictions on what I think is going to happen. The GFS (Global Forecasti
Read more

Overnight Storms

-
Image
     Hey everybody, how's it going! I hope you guys are having a good day so far. I know I haven't done any weather updates recently, haven't had much going on weather wise, and I'm in the middle of a busy work week, so I just haven't had time to do anything. But I'm making time today, because we have a storm system coming in overnight tonight, and into tomorrow morning. So lets take a dive into it aye.     As far as Timing goes, It's looking like Late this Evening in Oklahoma, Later tonight in West Arkansas, and moving left to right across the state during the Overnight Hours. So for Central Arkansas 12-2AM would be a good bet, and East Arkansas 2-7AM would be a good bet.     As far as what the threats are, well mainly due solely to the timing of the night this will move in, the MAIN threats are Hail, and Damaging Straight Line Winds. At First this was expected to move in during the Evening hours, and that raised some Tornado Concern among Meteorologist,
Read more