Weekly Weather Forecast 8/7/17 - 8/12/17

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     Hey everybody! How's it going!? Hope everybody's work week, and weekend has gone well, and safe. It has been a nice feeling week, not too hot this week. It did get warm, like 90 at it's warmest this week. But the humidity has been down, so the temperatures was manageable. This week won't be much different, let's talk about it.
     Rain Chances - We had a bit of rain this morning, and this afternoon here in Arkansas. The rain we had today was basically Blow off from a Dangerous Storm System that moved through Northeast Oklahoma last night, and dropped a dangerous, damaging Tornado in Tulsa Oklahoma overnight. I was watching that. That particular Tornado was part of a overnight Squall Line that was moving through the area, it was TOTALLY rain wrapped (Covered, or wrapped up in rain, obscured from view), I'm not sure if anybody was injured or killed, but that sure was a very deadly situation for anybody in that area at the time for obvious reasons. But as for us, moving past that I do most definitely see a chance for some showers and storms tomorrow for mainly SOUTH Arkansas.
 [Animation] 
This Image is the Sunday Evening run of the GFS (Global Forecasting System), this is about 3pm Tomorrow Evening, and you can see mainly precips for South Arkansas. Some of those Showers could affect areas of Central Arkansas.
Tuesday is looking clear. Next chance for rain is Wednesday Evening, there may or may not be shower development in East Arkansas. Will be light to moderate if any, and no Severe stuff is expected.  Most of the day Thursday is looking clear, but rain will be building back in Thursday evening, and Thursday night, overnight, into Friday. The Daytime hours on Friday is looking clear with the Exception of rain in the wee hours of the morning. But Friday Night, and Saturday there is a pretty good chance for rain due to two different disturbances that will be moving through riding up a front. I DO NOT see much of a chance for Severe Weather this week, but HOWEVER, there MAY POSSIBLY be a Strong Storm or two Thursday Night with those showers. [Animation] Tornadoes? No probably not. Strong Winds? Yes Possible! This is the GFS CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) Basically the Instability map. This map measures the amount of Instability in the Atmosphere. The map is valid on Midnight Friday morning. Shows a good amount of instability in East and Southeast Arkansas. That's most likely where that strong storm or two will be. Saturday will be Raining, with most likely afternoon or evening scattered showers. Most likely cleared out by nightfall.
     Temperatures - Far as Temperatures go, I see Low to Mid 80s for the Majority of the week. There is a chance to top out in the High 80s near the end of the week, some spots MIGHT even hit 90 pushing into the weekend, but I don't think this week will be a particularly hot one so no biggies there. Hopefully we'll have a few rain/thundershowers to keep that humidity down for us. So when it's not raining outside, it should feel quite pleasant.


Bear in mind, this is just a forecast. My forecast are based off of the combination of model guidance, and atmospheric trends. There is a possibility that I may not always be 100% dead on accurate, but it has to be understood that us as humans have no ultimate control over weather or nature, even though some of us may THINK we do Lol, We don't! As Forecasters, Meteorologist, or whatever we want to call ourselves, our forecast are nothing more than educated guesses as to what will happen in the future. But anyways, I digress. If you guys have any questions or comments, PLZ feel free to leave them! Have a Safe Week everybody!!!!

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