Late November Severe Weather Update?!

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    Hey everybody, how's it going!? Y'all remember on Thanksgiving when I made a Weather Update to social media, I mentioned a chance for showers and thunderstorms this coming week. Well that chance has held true, In fact, there is Too much of a chance for rain then we NEED! More on that in a sec, but not to mention, this storm system is associated with a front, so needless to say that brings along a certain risk for severe weather! Strong Winds, Flooding, and ISOLATED Hail will be the main concerns BUT, the chance for Tornadoes IS PRESENT!  Not a Particularly Big/Great chance for Tornadoes, but it's NOT IMPOSSIBLE, even for this time of the year, IT IS ARKANSAS, ANYTHING is Possible!!! So, without further babbling on CHECK FORECAST BELOW!
This Map is courtesy of 
 the National Weather Service here in Little Rock. The first Story here is WIND! Wind Gust up to 35mph in areas around the State as of Sunday Night. This is in part due to the strength of this storm system moving left-right across the Central Plains, it's pushing lots of air in front of it. Lake Wind Advisory goes into effect for our neck of the woods early Monday Morning.
The Next Story here with this Weather System is RAINFALL! This System will pack A LOT of Moisture! The National Weather Service doesn't think there is a good enough chance State-Wide for rain to bust the drought! I THINK, for Central/East Arkansas the Drought is KILLED by this potentially Flash Flooding rain chance! There is a Chance for East-EastCentral Arkansas to get good-significant rainfal, that ends the drought! West Arkansas maynot get as much which will leave some areas with a remaining drought probably. Flash Flooding is a sudden DEADLY Flooding event that's caused by overwhelming downpour rainfal. Anywhere from Central Arkansas-The Mississippi River has that chance.
Lastly but not least, as usual with ANY frontal storm system, a certain risk for Severe Weather comes along with it! There is a Slight Risk of Severe Weather from areas just South of Little Rock on Southward. This Slight Risk is Mainly for Damaging Thunderstorm Winds, but there's an isolated chance for Hail, and a even more ISOLATED chance for Tornadoes. There will be some upper-atmospheric instability in place Monday Morning-Afternoon-Evening so the Chance for Tornadoes is there! NOT LIKELY, but Possible. There is a Higher Risk of Severe Weather in Far SOUTH Arkansas from El Dorado on Southward. 

*TIMING of this Entire Storm System is Early Monday Morning for West Arkansas, Noon-Afternoon Monday for Central Arkansas, Afternoon-Evening for East Arkansas, it's gone by Early Monday Night. This will move through in Squal Line Fashion from Left - Right across the State throughout the day Monday November 28th. After the Line has moved through, there is still a chance of rain behind the front. The Highest Chance of rain comes from Showers and Storms out AHEAD of the front itself! The Highest Wind threat is Associated with the Front itself as it passes through! 

There are additional chances for rain this coming weekend, but you have to crawl before you walk. Thanks for coming here to the Weather Hawk's Blog, and if you read all that, YOU'RE FREAKING AWESOME!!! Have a Safe Night Ladies and Gentlemen!! 

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