1rst Official Winter Weather Update: ArkanFreeze 2020!!

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        Hey everybody, and Happy Thanksgiving! I hope everything is well with everybody, and all is safe! Enjoy your Holidays, and Black Friday shopping. It's officially time for our first Official Winter Weather Update of 2020! I'm sure this year this is Winter Weather Update #1 out of Many this season, and I'm sure most of them will be Temperature related, I don't think we'll have much in the way of Consistent precipitation, but we'll definitely be freezing! Speaking of Freezing Temperatures, that's what this Update is about. Some Weather Models were hitting at a chance for some wintery mix in certain sections of the state in the wee hours Monday Morning, I do not think it's impossible, but I don't think it's likely either. 

          So about the upcoming chance for freezing temperatures. The temps have already dropped fairly low in certain areas of the state already thus far this season. But here in Central Arkansas, we have yet to reach the actual freezing temperature mark this year. I think there is a great chance on Monday, November 30th, at some point in between the hours of 12am Midnight, and 6am Monday Morning, temperatures could touch/get close to freezing in sections of Central Arkansas. There is also a chance for temperatures at or around freezing Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday! The first week in December is looking to be seriously cold for Arkansas! Look's like our Arkansas Winter is about to set in and get Comfortable! Check the Images Below!

This Image is the GFS (Global Forecasting System) this is the 18z Run, which is the 12Noon Thanksgiving run, so this is the latest of the model run. This Image is valid for Monday Morning between the hours of Midnight and 6am. So this Image shows near freezing temperatures in Central Arkansas on Monday Morning!
This is the GFS 18z Thanksgiving run valid Tuesday December 1rst, and the day looks to be starting off at or around freezing in a major area of the State. So come Tuesday Morning, do not be surprised if you walk outside and Shiver!! That time of the Year is Here!!! 
This Image is the GFS valid Thursday December 3rd between the hours of Midnight and 6am in the morning. Obviously Cold, and Near freezing temperatures possible in West, North, and Central Sections of the state. In North Arkansas the temperatures are predicted be Below freezing.
This is the GFS valid Friday, December 4th, this is valid between the hours of Midnight and 6am in the morning. The temperatures are predicted to be at, or near freezing for the majority of the state.

This is just one Model Run of Once Model out of many, this forecast is subject to chance a little bit, these temperatures can go up or down, and the locations may vary. If I spot any significant changes in the model guidance, I'll do another update. We are still, at most several days away from the particular time period that I'm talking about, so there are definite uncertainties. But, On another note, with a A/O turning more, and more negative as we move further into December, I WOULD NOT be surprised if we saw a hit or miss shot at some Winter Precipitation at some point around, or before Christmas!!!!! *DON'T HOLD ME TO THAT*

Thanks everybody for coming here to the Arkansas Weather Hawk's Blog!





         

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