Developing Winter Weather Update: Polar Vortex is Coming!!

           Hey Everybody! I hope everything is going well with everyone, and I hope everybody had a safe Thanksgiving and Black Friday Holiday! The weather was pleasant on Thanksgiving, was a bit on the cool side Thanksgiving night, I saw some sprinkles in spots around Central Arkansas, but nothing else remarkable, which was good. The Weather Models have flopped a little bit regarding this upcoming Winter Weather situation that I cover in my previous Weather Update.

            Now 2 days ago, I made an update sharing my predictions based on the GFS Weather Model. In that update, the GFS noted Freezing Temperatures in Central Arkansas Monday-Thursday of next week. Over the last few Model runs, the GFS and EURO have both warmed up on Wednesday, and both models are consistent on Mid - Low 30s Monday, Tuesday, and Thursday Mornings of next week. At first there were some talks about the Possibility of Some scattered Wintry Precipitation on Monday Morning, but that chance is highly unlikely at this point. Now the Latest Runs of the GFS Looks cold on Monday Morning with temps in the mid 30s in Central, Low 30s in North Arkansas. But, on Tuesday, both the GFS and the EURO looks Cold on Tuesday Morning for majority of the state. Now the GFS has temperatures at 32 degrees on Tuesday morning, realistically the temps can be anywhere around 32 degrees, maybe below or above by 1 or 2 degrees. The Newest run of the EURO is in the Mid 20s In Central Arkansas on Tuesday Morning! If this verify, then we could be in store for some seriously cold temperatures, like PIPE-BURSTING Cold Temperatures. The National Weather Service is rolling with the EURO, I'm not exactly sold on it just yet. Maybe if the EURO say this over the next 2 Model Runs, then I may get excited. 

This Courtesy of The National Weather Service in North Little Rock, Ar. This their predictions from temperatures on Tuesday Morning! The EURO (European Weather Model), is at 26 degrees in Central Arkansas, but if this does verify then this could be some seriously dangerous cold! If this does verify, then the actual air temperatures could vary plus or minus a degree or two in any given spot.  In Some areas of North Arkansas, I would drip my pipes just so that they don't freeze. 

This is the EURO (European Weather Model), this model is saying Mid 20s on Tuesday Morning. I'm not buying this just yet, One or Two Model runs will tell a more accurate picture, but mid to Low 20s is definitely in the realm of possibilities. 

The GFS and EURO models show chances for some seriously cold temps this coming up week. If temperatures do dip below freezing the check all outside plants, and animals, and make appropriate arrangements. I don't expect any Winter Precipitation at this time, but it's not impossible! If I find any further remarkable changes, I will do another Update! Thanks Everybody for coming to the Arkansas Weather Hawk's Blog!