**SUNDAY SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE**

-
      GoodMorning Everybody, How's it going.! As you likely know by now there is a developing weather situation later this evening for Arkansas. This severe weather threat comes from a quick moving storm system out of Oklahoma, and Instability out of North Texas. Those two mixed together presents us with the threat of severe weather.. In a Nutshell, Squal line develops this evening in West Arkansas, moves East into Central Arkansas into the Eveing/Nighttime Hours. Main Threats, Hail, damaging winds, Tornadoes ARE A POSSIBILITY with any ISOLATED storms that get organized. Primary Threat is Wind as it moves into East Arkansas later into the Nighttime hours.
This is the Slight/Enhanced Risk area for Arkansas from the Storm Prediction Center in Norman Oklahoma. The slight risk is basically for the entire state, but there and "Enhanced Risk" (Raised Area Of Concern) for the Southwest corner of Arkansas. 
This is a closer more in detail breakdown of what the risk for Severe Weather are, and Where. This map is via the National Weather Service In North Little Rock. The main enhanced area of concern is from Texarkana, up the I-30 Corridor on up to Little Rock, MAYBE a little North, and on East to Brinkley persay in East Central Arkansas. South Arkansas, and West Arkansas are in the area of concern as well. Now the MAIN THREATS here are WINDS, AND LARGE HAIL! BUT, before the Squal Line (Line Of Thunderstorms) form, any Isolated (Storm Off To Itself) get organized, then it will DEFINITELY present a Tornado Threat! 
Now this is a Simulated Radar Timescale. Basically what the radar is predicted to look like at a certain time in the future. This is courtesy of the National Weather Service in North Little Rock. Now this evening Simulated Radar depicts scattered storms starting to fire in West/Southwest Arkansas. These are the storms to watch because they are likely to be off to themselves, and can quickly present a deadly threat. By this Evening into tonight the line moves into Central Arkansas, at this time it's more of a Wind Threat, BUT we will have to CLOSELY watch little Kinks and Indentations within the line as Spinups Can form into brief tornadoes. With this Line moving at speed, and with momentum, spinups can form out of kinks quickly, and without warning. So we'll have to CLOSELY watch that. By Late tonight into Midnight, the line will be in East Arkansas, and it will be a Wind Threat more than anything else due to lack of ground heating/time of day. 

Now In a Nutshell, the chance for Tornadoes is there for Southwest and Central Arkansas, I expect a Tornado Watch to be issued at some point this evening due to the chance for deadly weather. Main Threats are Damaging Wind, and Hail. But Tornadoes are a DEFINITE possibility! Storm Spotter Activation will be LIKELY!! PLEASE comment ANY QUESTIONS you may have, mention me, message me, text me, call me, whatever you need to do. As long as Everybody understands everything. Thanks for Coming to The Weather Hawk's Blog!!! 

Follow Me On Social Media 
TheArkansas WeatherHawk - Facebook
@OmarrWilson - Twitter
The Arkansas Weather Hawk - Google Plus 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: 4/03/19 Thursday Thunder

-
Image
     Hey everybody, I hope everybody is having a Fantastic night so far, and I hope everybody is safe. Over the last week, I've been watching a Storm System moving through tomorrow afternoon. The Main threats will be Limited Due to the timing of day, and the level of severity will be limited due to the lack of Instability. See Below.      This is a map courtesy of the National Weather Service in North Little Rock, as you can see here the Primary Threats will be Large Hail, and Damaging Thunderstorm Winds. Tornadoes cannot be ruled out, but are not likely.  This will not be a widespread severe weather outbreak. Mainly because this will come as two waves of moisture. The first wave of showers and storms will move through early in the morning on Thursday, SOME MAY BE STRONG. So for those getting up for work, and school, be aware of this. That first Initial wave will move through and leave lingering rain behind. This will cause cooling, and stabilize the atmosphere to keep Severe
Read more

First Weather Update of 2016 !!!!!!

-
Image
     Heyy Everybody GoodMorning, and How's it Going!! Thanks for coming here to the Weather Hawk's Blog for the first blog post update of the new year! I'm doing this update to inform you guys of our first rain chances of the new year! First for two things aye! Well first thing's first, I'd Like to THANK EVERYBODY for your Happy Birthday Wishes back on my Birthday (New Year's Eve), makes me feel Loved, Thank You everybody. I'd also like to wish EVERYBODY a Happy New Year! I hope and pray that you all had a safe, and enjoyable New Year regardless of what you did for new years. 2015 flew by, it's now officially 2016. So let's get down to bidness shall we?     So as far as our next rain chances goes, our next rain chance comes in during the Second half of our work week this week. All of you know I generally study 3 different weather models that I tend to find most accurate for my predictions on what I think is going to happen. The GFS (Global Forecasti
Read more

Overnight Storms

-
Image
     Hey everybody, how's it going! I hope you guys are having a good day so far. I know I haven't done any weather updates recently, haven't had much going on weather wise, and I'm in the middle of a busy work week, so I just haven't had time to do anything. But I'm making time today, because we have a storm system coming in overnight tonight, and into tomorrow morning. So lets take a dive into it aye.     As far as Timing goes, It's looking like Late this Evening in Oklahoma, Later tonight in West Arkansas, and moving left to right across the state during the Overnight Hours. So for Central Arkansas 12-2AM would be a good bet, and East Arkansas 2-7AM would be a good bet.     As far as what the threats are, well mainly due solely to the timing of the night this will move in, the MAIN threats are Hail, and Damaging Straight Line Winds. At First this was expected to move in during the Evening hours, and that raised some Tornado Concern among Meteorologist,
Read more