More Severe Weather Ahead

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      Hey Good Evening everybody, how's it going!? I've been looking over the model data from the NAM and the GFS weather models, and it looks like there's yet another chance for Severe Weather on the horizon! I don't think this will be as widespread as the most recent Severe Weather event we had yesterday. But it will be something to watch for Southwest Arkansas.
      This system will be in the form of a Squall Line with moisture streaming in from the south on Friday. Now with this it seems that earlier into the evening the chance for Tornadoes and Supercell thunderstorms is confined to Southwest Arkansas. However the threat for strong winds, and large hail is statewide as that Squall Line moves through later in the night on Friday. See Pictures Below:
This is the noon run of the NAM. This map is valid around 6pm Friday evening, as it shows the area with the highest probability of severe storms is in the West/Southwest corner of the state.
This is the "Significant Tornado" Map of the NAM. This map just shows where the possibility of the biggest tornadoes are, and it shows the southwest corner of the state. 

Now this is just one model, and it's just model guidance. I don't take this too literally, but this is what it seems the models predict. Personally I do think there will be a chance for Tornadoes, but I see more of a strong wind threat then anything else.
The Storm Prediction Center in Norman Oklahoma does coincide with what Im saying... They have Issued a Slight Risk for Severe Weather for the Southwest corner of the state. That's the area where the models show the best chance for severe weather. Again the main threats here is Wind and Hail, Tornadoes are a threat, but the chance is low at this time. Storms will develop Friday evening in West Arkansas and will become severe, a Squall Line will move from West to East across the state at some point Friday Night, ending the threat for everything. Cold air will follow behind that. 
Thanks everybody for coming here to the Arkansas Weather Hawks Blog! I appreciate everybody's continued Support! 

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