*+SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE+* Mean Monday Weather

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      Hey everybody!  How's it going this morning! Well I said I'd do another Severe Weather Update if I saw in changes in my expectations, or the Weather Maps. And the only changes I really see here regarding our chances for Severe Weather is Timing! All else remains the same. I don't think our chance for Tornadoes is a great as it once appeared to be. They are still Very Possible, but not as likely as it once looked. Let's get into the thick of what the main changes are.
Here's a map courtesy of The National Weather Service in North Little Rock, Arkansas. As you can see the Storm Prediction Center definitely shaved back the initial "Enhanced Risk" for severe weather. So it's more focused on West/Northwest Arkansas. Basically what "Enhanced Risk" Means is "A More Focused Area of concern, within a Area of Concern." 

As far as Timing Goes, Last Update I said Afternoon, Evening, and night.... Well at this point I'm thinking Overnight into Early Morning! I think storms will start to pop off in West Northwestern Arkansas out ahead of that building Squall Line in Oklahoma. Those Storms that fire in West/Northwestern Arkansas will have to be watched, they will be developing in a Slightly Unstable area so IF THEY CAN GET ORGANIZED, THEY WILL STAND A CHANCE TO PRODUCE TORNADOES AND DEADLY WEATHER! 

My Main Concern is for damaging Straight Lined Winds from Strong Storms, and the Squall Line (Line of Strong To Severe Thunderstorms that Moves from West To East typically associated with a cold front.)
Here's the Convective Outlook map for today, Courtesy of The Storm Prediction Center in Norman Oklahoma. This is just how the original Severe Weather Outlook looks. 
Here's a Timing Map from the National Weather Service here in Little Rock, what they're saying is basically up to par with my expectations as well. Storm development around midnight must be watched followed by a full morning of Severe Thunderstorm Warnings and Possibly a few Tornado Warnings with that Squall Line as it races East through the State. By the Time it gets to central and East Arkansas tomorrow Morning, It will be a wind event! Very strong winds! Beware on the Morning Commute to Work Tomorrow! 

I will do another Weather Update if need be if anything Changes! Y'all know I really appreciate you for coming here to the Weather Hawk's Blog! 

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