Severe Weather Update : MONDAY MADNESS

-
       Hey everybody, how's it going!? I hope everybody's having a fantastic evening so far. If you can't tell by the title, there is a chance for Severe Weather on Monday November 5th. Timing is still up in the air, some models suggest Noon - 12am for West - East Arkansas. Some models suggest Monday Night for just East Arkansas. I will be watching these models like a Hawk over the next couple of runs. Now, lets get into what to expect.
      As far as what to expect, for awhile now the Tornado threat has not been impressive to me at all, the measure of instability is relatively low, but the amount of twist in the atmosphere, it's what we like to call "Wind Shear", there will be lots of it in the atmosphere on Monday, and Monday Night. So the chance for spin ups with the squall line itself is very prominent! Now, granted spin up Tornadoes are not the biggest in size, but they are fast, and they are capable of taking lives, and damaging property! So with that said, people seriously need to take heed to the Warnings, and Watches that are issued. If a Tornado Warning goes out for you area, you need to act immediately and get to a safe place. Going outside to take pictures is just stupid, you put your life in danger by trying to be curious!
This Image is courtesy of The National Weather Service in North Little Rock, Ar. NWS did a amazing job at depicting where, and what the threats are. Slight risk for the Central 1/2 of the state, and an Enhanced Risk (More concentrated risk of Severe Weather within a given area) of Severe Weather for the East 1/2 of the State.
This Image is courtesy of the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma. As I stated above Slight Risk for Severe Weather is outlined for the Central 1/2 of Arkansas. An Enhanced Risk for Severe Weather is outlined for the East 1/2 of Arkansas, expect Tornado Watches during the day for that particular area especially.

The Threat is present here in the State for ALL MODES of Severe Weather, Hail, Damaging Thunderstorm Winds, and Tornadoes are all possible on Monday Afternoon and Night. At first I didn't think this system was all that impressive, but when the new round of model guidance came in, and I saw how much Twist (Wind Shear) will be in the wind, I started to gain interest in this. Over the next day I will get more certain about where, and what time all of this will go down, I will update as I know more, I promise. There IS A CHANCE FOR RAIN TONIGHT, but nothing Severe, just heavy Thunderstorms are expected.! Thanks for coming here to the Arkansas Weather Hawk's Blog, have a safe night everybody!

Follow Me On Social Media:
@Omarrian Wilson - Facebook
@OmarrWilson - Twitter
@The Arkansas Weather Hawk - Google Plus
@thearkansas_weatherhawk - Instagram

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: 4/03/19 Thursday Thunder

-
Image
     Hey everybody, I hope everybody is having a Fantastic night so far, and I hope everybody is safe. Over the last week, I've been watching a Storm System moving through tomorrow afternoon. The Main threats will be Limited Due to the timing of day, and the level of severity will be limited due to the lack of Instability. See Below.      This is a map courtesy of the National Weather Service in North Little Rock, as you can see here the Primary Threats will be Large Hail, and Damaging Thunderstorm Winds. Tornadoes cannot be ruled out, but are not likely.  This will not be a widespread severe weather outbreak. Mainly because this will come as two waves of moisture. The first wave of showers and storms will move through early in the morning on Thursday, SOME MAY BE STRONG. So for those getting up for work, and school, be aware of this. That first Initial wave will move through and leave lingering rain behind. This will cause cooling, and stabilize the atmosphere to keep Severe
Read more

First Weather Update of 2016 !!!!!!

-
Image
     Heyy Everybody GoodMorning, and How's it Going!! Thanks for coming here to the Weather Hawk's Blog for the first blog post update of the new year! I'm doing this update to inform you guys of our first rain chances of the new year! First for two things aye! Well first thing's first, I'd Like to THANK EVERYBODY for your Happy Birthday Wishes back on my Birthday (New Year's Eve), makes me feel Loved, Thank You everybody. I'd also like to wish EVERYBODY a Happy New Year! I hope and pray that you all had a safe, and enjoyable New Year regardless of what you did for new years. 2015 flew by, it's now officially 2016. So let's get down to bidness shall we?     So as far as our next rain chances goes, our next rain chance comes in during the Second half of our work week this week. All of you know I generally study 3 different weather models that I tend to find most accurate for my predictions on what I think is going to happen. The GFS (Global Forecasti
Read more

Overnight Storms

-
Image
     Hey everybody, how's it going! I hope you guys are having a good day so far. I know I haven't done any weather updates recently, haven't had much going on weather wise, and I'm in the middle of a busy work week, so I just haven't had time to do anything. But I'm making time today, because we have a storm system coming in overnight tonight, and into tomorrow morning. So lets take a dive into it aye.     As far as Timing goes, It's looking like Late this Evening in Oklahoma, Later tonight in West Arkansas, and moving left to right across the state during the Overnight Hours. So for Central Arkansas 12-2AM would be a good bet, and East Arkansas 2-7AM would be a good bet.     As far as what the threats are, well mainly due solely to the timing of the night this will move in, the MAIN threats are Hail, and Damaging Straight Line Winds. At First this was expected to move in during the Evening hours, and that raised some Tornado Concern among Meteorologist,
Read more