The Arkansas Weather Hawk's Blog

       Hey Everybody, GoodMorning! I hope everybody is continuing to stay safe, and somewhat stress free under the circumstances going on in the country. This Storm season has been VERY active needless to say. Here in Arkansas, today we have yet another significant chance for a major Outbreak of Severe Weather. We've had consistent Severe Weather events every week for the last couple of weeks. This week there is now a Moderate Risk for Severe Weather in parts of Arkansas for today (Tuesday, April 28th, 2020), this evening, and tonight. Let's get into the details.        At First there was a Slight risk for Severe Weather over mostly the West, and Central 1/2 of Arkansas Tuesday evening, and night. The concerns were mainly just hail, and damamging straight lined winds. But the confidence for Torndaoes has increased due to a couple of factors; one being the shear amount of wind energy associated with this system, there's a low pressure system in th...

       Hey Everybody, I hope everybody is having a happy Saturday afternoon so far! I hope everybody is staying safe in this very inconvenient time in our lives. This weekend will not make things any easier to deal with because today, Saturday April 11th 2K20 we have a chance for Scattered Strong Storms late this evening and tonight. And tomorrow, Easter Sunday April 12th, 2K20, we have a chance for a Widespread Severe Weather Outbreak including Tornadoes. So let's dive off into dynamics, and timing so everybody will understand how serious this situation is.       I'm not so worried about today, I don't expect much in the way of actual widespread Severe Weather today there will be scattered showers, and thunderstorms later today, and there is a chance some of it can be strong to severe, but there's not much confidence of any widespread severe weather. The time-line for today is around 4pm for Southwest, and Central Arkansas to see rain, and thundersto...

     Hey GoodMorning everybody! I hope You all are enjoying this peaceful Friday morning because Saturday morning will be LOUD, DANGEROUS, AND HECTIC for Meteorologist, and Viewers alike. This is a serious spring setup type system moving into the state today, and tomorrow morning. It's VERY fortunate in some ways that this storm system is moving in when it is, because if this was expected to move through in the evening hours instead of in the middle of the night, we would be talking Tornado Outbreak here. I mean it's bad that this will be an overnight event because this will be when everybody is asleep, and you wont't be able to see what's coming at you which is particular dangerous for motorist. Let Jump into it, in the order of WHAT? WHERE? AND WHEN?       WHAT? ALL MODES Of Severe Weather is Expected Today with these Storms. MAINLY Damaging Straight Lined Winds, Hail, and definitely a chance for Isolated Strong Tornadoes. This Is from the Storm Pred...

     Hey GoodNight Everybody! I know everybody's been hearing about the developing severe weather situation approaching for Friday night into Saturday morning. Earlier in the week I did a weather update about it, this is just a refresh on the situation, and what I know about it so far from the models. There's a lot to this storm system, from heavy rain chances, to severe weather, to winter weather. This storm system will bring a mixed bag to the state Friday night, and Saturday morning.     First, the heavy rain chances! This Storm System is approaching from the West, but it's drawing in this warm Gulf moisture from the Gulf Of Mexico from a Southwesterly stream. So with this abundance of moisture, heavy rain will be in no short supply! So Flash Flooding will be a definite threat with this storm system over 2 days for the entire state of Arkansas. Marginally this is not a huge Flooding rain event, but that is a lot of rain at one time. So that will create lot's...

      Happy New Years Everybody!!! The Weather Blog had been on a very long hiatus, but we are   back in the full swing of things! So I've been watching the GFS over the past few days, and the GFS is adamant about wrap around moisture on the back side of this next front coming in changing over as this exists the state. I haven't been buying it too much because the GFS is one of the most inconsistent models outside of that 24 hour window on anything frozen. Now one thing both the GFS and EURO agree on is the possibility for SEVERE WEATHER! Now Severe Weather this early in the year is not unheard of, and it's not uncommon. So there's that.      As far as timing, the rain itself will show up as early as Thursday Morning. Scattered Showers will persist throughout the day Thursday and into Friday. More Scattered Showers Thursday Night. A Second Band of Moisture will setup late Friday Morning into Friday afternoon, the Severe Weather comes into play Friday ...

      Hey Everybody, how's it going!? I hope everybody is having a fantastic day so far because tomorrow will be not soo good for those that aren't having a good day today! So get your partying in because the weather will definitely put a damper on your day tomorrow no doubt!       So there is a Chance for a Severe Saturday shaping up for the state tomorrow. The threats for Hail, and High Water, and Winds are greater than the chance for Tornadoes. But however, there is a pretty substantial threat for Tornadoes tomorrow for West, and parts of Central Arkansas.      As far as Timing, the HRRR (High Resolution Rapid Refresh) Model shows everything coming through by tomorrow evening, and night. Tomorrow evening for West Arkansas, that timeframe set's a dangerous situation for West Arkansas, because that's the time of day, around 6pm when the heat of the ground is at it's peak. Tornadoes love that time of day for just that reason. As it get's la...

        Hey Good Afternoon everybody. I hope everybody is having a fantastic Afternoon today. If you're not, you may not have a good one tomorrow either. All Modes of Severe Weather is expected tomorrow. Below is everything you need to know so far.       The Storms will Initiate in West Arkansas at some point in the Wee/Early Morning hours on Wednesday Morning, and the Severe Weather Threat will gradually slide Northeast, and to the East as the day goes along. Like I said above, all modes of Severe Weather are expected during this setup. If you live in SOUTH, WEST, SOUTHWEST, CENTRAL, EAST, AND SOUTHEAST Arkansas, you need to be weather aware as you're commuting to work or school, or at work or school. I will NOT be able to track this weather because I will be at work. So Follow your Local News, KARK 4, FOX 16, KATV 7, THV 11, Follow their social media pages, as well as the National Weather Service on Twitter. Those are GREAT ways to get information. ...