Holiday Rain, Cold, and Flooding Weather Update 11/25/15

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       Hey everybody, how's it going! I hope you're better off than I am. Jumping right into things the major story with this holiday weather maker will be rainfall. There's a good chance for steady rainfall, so flooding will be a good chance. This WILL be a washout. Unfortunately, this weather maker will be a real downer on things. Just grab an umbrella, wear a jacket, and some pants, and you'll be fine. Now this rain will be associated with a frontal boundary, behind that boundary will be some colder air. Colder than it will be on Thanksgiving for sure. The models have the cold air moving through on Saturday, but weather models do a bad job predicting air, I think the air will tank south overnight Friday with some areas getting cold before daybreak on Saturday. *SAVE A PLATE FOR ME PLZ!!!!
Here's a map courtesy of the National Weather Service in here in Little Rock of a corridor through the state of very heavy rainfall. Really good amounts of rain expected. Flash Flood watches and warnings will be issued throughout Thanksgiving. 
Here's the GFS weather model (Global Forecasting System) it shows the bulk of the rain moving in associated with a front overnight Saturday.
Here's the GFS by Saturday morning with heavy rainfall expected for that northern 1/2 of the state. 1-5" of rain possible with this front as it moves through. Some of that rain could be locally heavy. 

Now Although I haven't talked much about Thanksgiving day itself, I am expecting a chance for rain, with those chances getting better as we move into the weekend. Rain on Thanksgiving will likely be scattered, it won't be cold, but it will probably be cool, and wet in areas so dress accordingly. For the better part of Friday we will likely get a break from the rain in advance of the frontal boundary. Friday-Saturday night we stand our best chance to see rainfall possibly locally heavy at times, and flash flooding. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS, DRIVE AROUND, DON'T DROWN. Colder air will sink into the state as we move on into the weekend, as the front fights it's way through the Ozarks. I appreciate everybody for coming here to the Weather Hawk's Blog for weather information. Have a Safe Holiday everybody, and SAVE ME A PLATE PLZ, I'M HUNGRY! 

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