The Arkansas Weather Hawk's Blog

     Hey everybody, how's it going! I hope you guys are having a good day so far. I know I haven't done any weather updates recently, haven't had much going on weather wise, and I'm in the middle of a busy work week, so I just haven't had time to do anything. But I'm making time today, because we have a storm system coming in overnight tonight, and into tomorrow morning. So lets take a dive into it aye.     As far as Timing goes, It's looking like Late this Evening in Oklahoma, Later tonight in West Arkansas, and moving left to right across the state during the Overnight Hours. So for Central Arkansas 12-2AM would be a good bet, and East Arkansas 2-7AM would be a good bet.     As far as what the threats are, well mainly due solely to the timing of the night this will move in, the MAIN threats are Hail, and Damaging Straight Line Winds. At First this was expected to move in during the Evening hours, and that raised some Tornado Concern among Meteorolo...

      GoodMorning Everybody, How's it going.! As you likely know by now there is a developing weather situation later this evening for Arkansas. This severe weather threat comes from a quick moving storm system out of Oklahoma, and Instability out of North Texas. Those two mixed together presents us with the threat of severe weather.. In a Nutshell, Squal line develops this evening in West Arkansas, moves East into Central Arkansas into the Eveing/Nighttime Hours. Main Threats, Hail, damaging winds, Tornadoes ARE A POSSIBILITY with any ISOLATED storms that get organized. Primary Threat is Wind as it moves into East Arkansas later into the Nighttime hours. This is the Slight/Enhanced Risk area for Arkansas from the Storm Prediction Center in Norman Oklahoma. The slight risk is basically for the entire state, but there and "Enhanced Risk" (Raised Area Of Concern) for the Southwest corner of Arkansas.  This is a closer more in detail breakdown of what the risk f...

     GoodMorning Everybody, I hope everybody had a safe night! I was planning on doing a weather update last night, but work wouldn't give me the time of day. I'm finally off! Anyways, on to the weather, there is A LOT to cover!      Okay First thing's first, this weekend will be awesome! Today, and tomorrow will be great. Get out, wash the car, wax it, go for a little cruise in your nice clean ride. Get out enjoy the weather, IT WON'T LAST LONG......      *Next Week, Okay so You know I study 3 Weather Models, NAM (North American Model), GFS ( Global Forecasting System), CMC (Canadian Weather Model). Now I look at and observe other weather maps, but my big 3 is those 3. Now all of the models agree on the Onset of this next BIG TIME weather maker.......TUESDAY. The Rain will start sometime during the morning hours on Tuesday. Overnight Tuesday, and into Wednesday there will be a frontal boundary setup and it will stall, and just sit over Ark...

     Hey everybody, how's it going. I'm dedicating a whole blog post to the memory of my late grandmother. It was 5 years ago today that I lost one of the most imperative women I've ever met in my entire life. This woman served one of the most influential roles of anybody that I've ever come into contact with.      When I was little, I had pretty much no father. My dad was known to my family in a very negative light that HE CAUSED. So I had no male or "Man" role models at an early age. All I've ever had was my Mommy and my 3 big sisters, they are responsible for the outstanding man that I am today, I owe it to them. But being the fact that my youngest sister is 9 years older than me, and my mom always slaved herself to death to get the bills paid, I had no immediate interaction with people.  My best friend was my DOG!!! All throughout my childhood years. Now Growing up, me and my grandmother didn't "Hit it off!" I didn't like her because...

      GoodMorning Everybody! How's it going! This Morning I figured I'd do an update about upcoming chances for Severe Weather. You know as we transition from our bipolar winter months into our Storm Season, people need to get more severe weather acclimated.  People understand something, Severe Weather kills more people in Arkansas per year than any other natural occurrence.  Severe Weather in the form of Severe Storms. Tornadoes kill a fair share, but straight lined winds kill the most people. Mainly due in part to trees falling onto houses. Part of staying alive these days are being aware of what's going on. Young people tend to be more interested in Facebook, Twitter and social media. That's why Social Media has been so important to my career as an amateur weather forecaster, and a scientist. You have to be AWARE of what's going on, and take Watches and Warnings VERY seriously.  If I, or any other reputable weather broadcasting source tell you there's a ...

      GoodEvening everybody, how's it going! I've been listening to everybody ask me if winter is dead or not. Here's my take on it. Winter is not completely "Dead" yet. Our winters don't typically kick in until late February and into March. If you remember back to Winter 2014/2015, we really didn't get much in the way of Snow until March of 2015. We got two good Snow Storms and one of them was a Blizzard.  So just because we've only had one good snow doesn't mean winter is completely just done... Furthermore, just because we've had mild temperatures here in Arkansas in winter time doesn't mean winter is completely done either. Just means our weather is very bipolar, and it hears voices. Now my pessimism doesn't come from the warm temperatures, it comes from something I call "The Urban Island Heating Effect" I'll do an update explaining what that is, but basically in a nutshell it is a condition that traps heat in the grou...

     Happy Saturday Evening everybody! I hope everybody has had a safe day thus far. Last Update I did, I informed you all of some winter weather moving in, now I said NOTHING was set in stone. Sees to me, that Central Arkansas has LESS to No chance for frozen stuff. Looks to me like the air will be too warm, and the ground would be too warm for anything to stick anyways. Now North Arkansas on the other hand, you guys have the chance to se some measurable ice/sleet accumulations locally.  This system will be tanking south bringing cold air with it. But the air doesn't have enough downward momentum to fight over the mountains of North Arkansas. So North Arkansas will act as a shield from the good stuff. Now with the amount of precipitation that will be on the move, North Arkansas can see a dusting to 1.5inches of sleet/frz rain. When I say North Arkansas I mean Fort Smith, to Fayetteville, to Mt Home, to Jonesboro, as far south as Clinton ( MAYBE JUST MAYBE), as far s...